PwC: Российский авторынок просядет на 10-14% в 2016 году

Аналитическое агентство PwC предсказывает дальнейшее падение российского авторынка. По данным агентства, в 2016 году в России будет продано не более 1,1 миллиона новых автомобилей, что на 14% меньше, чем в 2015 году. Напомним, что в 2015 году на отечественном рынке было реализовано на 36% меньше автомобилей, чем в 2014 году.

Стоит отметить, что падение продаж авто в России в 2016 году 14% заложено агентством PwC в базовый сценарий — в реальности рынок может просесть еще больше. Оптимистический сценарий предусматривает падение продаж новых автомобилей до 1,15 млн единиц в 2016 году, что на 10% меньше, чем в 2015 году. При составлении базового сценария PwC учитывала стоимость нефти в $40 за баррель, а в оптимистичный сценарий заложена цена барреля нефти в $43.

Олег Малышев, консультант PwC в России, заявил: «2016 год будет еще одним непростым годом для российской автомобильной отрасли». Малышев считает, что проседание российского рынка в 2016 году будет не таким сильным, как в 2015.

Сейчас стоимость нефти составляет $34 за баррель, тогда как 10 февраля котировки проседали до $31, а 20 января баррель нефти продавали за $28. Эксперты считают, что стоимость барреля нефти может снизится до $15-$20 за баррель.

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